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October Inflation Comes in at 7.7% for US: What’s Next?

<p> &lbrack;ad&lowbar;1&rsqb;<br &sol;>&NewLine;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Inflation slightly eased to 7&period;7&percnt; in October 2022 year-over-year&comma; compared to the previous CPI reading of 8&period;2&percnt;&period; Core inflation&comma; which excludes energy and food costs&comma; hit 6&period;3&percnt;&comma; down from 6&period;6&percnt; in September&comma; according to the new print&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h3>October CPI Shows Inflation Eases to 7&period;7&percnt;<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>The new consumer price index &lpar;CPI&rpar; data for October showed that inflation stood at 7&period;7&percnt; year-over-year&comma; compared to consensus estimates of 8&percnt;&period; Month-on-month&comma; the CPI came in at 0&period;4&percnt;&comma; while markets expected 0&period;6&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Core inflation&comma; which disregards volatile costs like food and energy&comma; was reported at 6&period;3&percnt;&comma; compared to analysts’ consensus of 6&period;5&percnt;&period; The same metric stood at 0&period;3&percnt; month-over-month&comma; while markets were looking for 0&period;5&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The latest CPI print comes after inflation barely dropped to 8&period;2&percnt; year-over-year in September&period; Core inflation hit 6&period;6&percnt; in September&comma; higher than analysts’ estimates&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Earlier this month&comma; the Federal Reserve delivered a fourth straight 75 basis points &lpar;bps&rpar; interest rate hike to tame rampant consumer prices&period; The hike was the sixth interest rate increase this year&comma; bringing them to a target range of 3&period;75&percnt; to 4&period;25&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Today’s data shows that inflation continues to ease at a slow pace&comma; indicating that another jumbo interest rate hike is likely in December&period; At the moment&comma; the majority of estimates &lpar;52&percnt;&rpar; are expecting a hike of at least 50 bps&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Following last month’s CPI report&comma; the Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank has &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;ways to go” in taming inflation&comma; which continues to hover around its 4-decade high&period; The Fed hopes to bring prices down through a series of major interest rate hikes in an effort to deter consumers from spending&period; Powell’s remarks should not come as a surprise given that current inflation levels remain notably away from the Fed’s 2&percnt; target&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h3>What are Analysts’ Expectations from the Fed in the Coming Months&quest;<&sol;h3>&NewLine;<p>Prior to the new CPI print&comma; analysts from global banks shared their forecasts on inflation and future interest rate hikes&period; Strategists at Commerzbank expected the October CPI to &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;fuel cautious optimism” about the inflation outlook and allow for a &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;somewhat slower pace by the Fed” in the future&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<blockquote class&equals;"wp-block-quote">&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;We expect a hike of only 50 bps at the next Fed meeting followed by two steps of 25 bps each at the beginning of 2023&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><cite>– Commerzbank analysts said&period; <&sol;cite><&sol;p>&NewLine;<&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;<p>Similarly&comma; analysts at RBC Economics expect the new reading to be still &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;way too high to prevent another round of interest rate hikes&period;” The bank expected a large increase of 0&period;7&percnt; month-over-month and 8&percnt; year-over-year&comma; in line with other estimates&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><i>This article originally appeared on The Tokenist<&sol;i><&sol;p>&NewLine;<div id&equals;"smartasset" style&equals;"margin-bottom&colon; 1em&semi;margin-top&colon; 1em">&NewLine;<p><b>Sponsored&colon; Find a Qualified Financial Advisor<&sol;b><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Finding a qualified financial advisor doesn&&num;8217&semi;t have to be hard&period; SmartAsset&&num;8217&semi;s free tool matches you with up to 3 fiduciary financial advisors in your area in 5 minutes&period; Each advisor has been vetted by SmartAsset and is held to a fiduciary standard to act in your best interests&period; If you&&num;8217&semi;re ready to be matched with local advisors that can help you achieve your financial goals&comma; get started now&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;

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